Andrew “Foucault” Brokos wrote an interesting article entitled “What’s Your Play? Second Nuts on Four-Flush River”. I thought it was a really nice way to involve the readers so I am following suit. Feel free to leave comments about how you would have played the hand as well as any questions, and then I shall post again in a week or so with my own analysis.
It was day two of six of the European Poker Tour Barcelona main event which had a buy in of €5,300. I started the hand with 105,000 the average is 68,000 and the blinds were 500/1000/100.
The villain in this hand is hyper loose-aggressive [LAG] with around 125,000 in chips.
We’ve been playing for about an hour and a half and he has been extremely active having five-bet me off one pot when he was on the button. He’s been frequently raising and re-raising both pre- and postflop vs. pretty much everyone at the table, particularly when he is on the button.
I got A 
Q
and it was folded to me in mid-position. I made it 2,500, a guy to my left called with an average stack and the villain made it 6,600 to go.
Last orbit when I re-raised him thinking he was just defending the button he re-raised me off. I’m not sure I want to face another five-bet with A-Q off so I decided to flat call, as did the next guy who had flat called my bet.
The flop came 8 5 4, giving me the nut flush draw and two over cards. Villain has been continuity- [c-betting] betting a very high percentage of the time. I check, the next guy checks, villain bets 11,500 into a pot of 22,200. I’ve got 99,000 behind me. I decided to flat call and the opponent between us folded.
The turn is the K
. I check. Villain bets 25,000 into what is now a 42,500 pot. How would you proceed, and is there any stage of this hand you would play differently and why?
In about a week I will post an analysis of this hand once people have had a chance at some discussion in the comment box.
I re raise his flop bet, its better to take the pot there and then rather than lose it on a later street and we still have outs and have him covered,no guts no glory
I fold, you are not getting correct pot odds to call and you still have a good stack left. If you called and hit your flush he would shut down, if you re raise or shove your tournament could be over. It would have been better to re raise or shove on the flop. You can find a better spot with a little luck…
My blog gets posted here and at the cardplayer website and I only just realised I had comments here to address, but my latest blog is now up – sorry fellas. I think I’ve discussed your option Mark which I nearly went for at the time. Brendan a fold isnt a bad option on the turn, it does preserve our very nice stack, however as I say in my follow up article I had set this hand up to maximise my fold equity by looking as strong as possible, hence my all in on the turn.
Thanks for the comments
Ian
id do what you did and i agree with mark above.you may as well stay in the pot at that stage as reward pretty big but…only if it comes off!
http://paddypowerpokerblog.wordpress.com/2013/01/29/ian-simpson-european-poker-tour-key-hand-analysis-what-happened-next/
There’s my analysis guys, hope you enjoy. Let me know what you think.